Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#42
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#38
Pace59.1#324
Improvement-3.0#298

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#42
Improvement+0.0#179

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#42
Improvement-3.0#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round96.9% n/a n/a
Second Round42.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 260   Cal St. Northridge W 79-58 95%     1 - 0 +12.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Nov 18, 2014 8   Utah W 53-49 33%     2 - 0 +18.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Nov 20, 2014 254   Cal St. Bakersfield W 51-27 94%     3 - 0 +16.1 -4.0 -4.0
  Nov 24, 2014 28   BYU W 92-87 2OT 42%     4 - 0 +17.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Nov 25, 2014 73   Pittsburgh W 74-57 63%     5 - 0 +23.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2014 2   Arizona L 59-61 13%     5 - 1 +20.2 +11.1 +11.1
  Dec 04, 2014 92   San Diego W 57-48 78%     6 - 1 +10.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2014 116   @ Washington L 36-49 64%     6 - 2 -6.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Dec 10, 2014 137   Long Beach St. W 60-59 85%     7 - 2 -0.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Dec 17, 2014 55   @ Cincinnati L 62-71 OT 43%     7 - 3 +2.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Dec 20, 2014 249   Ball St. W 70-57 94%     8 - 3 +5.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 22, 2014 218   UC Riverside W 61-33 92%     9 - 3 +22.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 31, 2014 194   Air Force W 53-49 91%     10 - 3 1 - 0 -0.6 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 03, 2015 189   @ Fresno St. L 57-59 79%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -0.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 06, 2015 141   New Mexico W 56-42 85%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +12.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 14, 2015 112   @ Wyoming W 60-52 63%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +14.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 17, 2015 97   UNLV W 53-47 79%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +7.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 20, 2015 194   @ Air Force W 77-45 79%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +33.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 24, 2015 63   @ Colorado St. L 73-79 48%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +4.4 +5.2 +5.2
  Jan 27, 2015 189   Fresno St. W 58-47 90%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +6.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 31, 2015 122   Utah St. W 62-42 82%     16 - 5 7 - 2 +19.9 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 04, 2015 259   @ Nevada W 65-63 87%     17 - 5 8 - 2 -0.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2015 51   @ Boise St. L 46-61 41%     17 - 6 8 - 3 -2.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Feb 11, 2015 112   Wyoming W 67-41 81%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +26.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 14, 2015 63   Colorado St. W 72-63 69%     19 - 6 10 - 3 +13.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 17, 2015 141   @ New Mexico W 63-46 69%     20 - 6 11 - 3 +21.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 21, 2015 346   @ San Jose St. W 74-56 97%     21 - 6 12 - 3 +5.5 -6.3 -6.3
  Feb 28, 2015 51   Boise St. L 46-56 64%     21 - 7 12 - 4 -3.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Mar 04, 2015 97   @ UNLV W 60-58 60%     22 - 7 13 - 4 +9.3 +3.6 +3.6
  Mar 07, 2015 259   Nevada W 67-43 94%     23 - 7 14 - 4 +15.7 -4.1 -4.1
  Mar 12, 2015 97   UNLV W 67-64 70%     24 - 7 +7.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Mar 13, 2015 63   Colorado St. W 56-43 59%     25 - 7 +20.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 14, 2015 112   Wyoming L 43-45 72%     25 - 8 +1.6 +1.8 +1.8
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 96.9% 96.9% 8.8 0.1 0.9 5.4 27.5 44.2 17.8 1.1 3.1 96.9%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.9% 0.0% 96.9% 8.8 0.1 0.9 5.4 27.5 44.2 17.8 1.1 3.1 96.9%